Week 17 sides and totals
Plus a recap of a big Week 16
I wrote last week about feeling further off on some picks, and maybe a bit fortunate on some of the recent hits, but Week 16 was a different animal. I jumped back up to eight picks last week, after lower volume in the prior couple weeks, and that left a couple bets on the table that I did like but didn’t really rise to official plays. (I talked about a few of those on my podcast Stealing Bananas last week, and we did a similar show this week where some of the other leans came up, if you’re interested.)
I only mention the leans because we went 6-2 on the official plays, and as I said it felt like we could have swung even harder. It felt good to have a week where most every game went the way it felt like it might.
One of the two misses was from a split on the Ravens-Steelers bets, where I wrote that the one I liked more was BAL -7, but I was “adding the under” to hedge a bit on a lower-scoring outcome, and the Steelers only scored 17 but the Ravens ultimately put up 34 and the game did go over.
The other miss was the over in the Jaguars-Raiders game, which just had the type of ineptitude with wasted possessions that was always at risk there. But we hit both sides of the Lions-Bears game, covered the spread with the Bengals when Dorian Thompson-Robinson was as bad as advertised, easily nailed the under in a 19-9 Rams win over the Jets, and also got the Sunday Night Football over when the Cowboys upset the Buccaneers. It was a really solid week.
That means we head into Week 17 at 67-55-4 on sides and totals, for +6.99 units. This week isn’t the best slate in my opinion, but I have a few more games I do really like. As always, all minus bets are bet to win 1 unit, all plus bets are risk 1 unit.