Stealing Lines

Stealing Lines

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Stealing Lines
Stealing Lines
Week 17 Bets, Weekly Specials, and Futures

Week 17 Bets, Weekly Specials, and Futures

Dalton Kates's avatar
Dalton Kates
Jan 01, 2023
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Stealing Lines
Stealing Lines
Week 17 Bets, Weekly Specials, and Futures
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I hope everyone has had an amazing year in 2022 and has enjoyed the holidays as the year comes to a close.

There’s no better way to start 2023 than with a Sunday full of football. This season is coming to close, but we’re still going strong right now. We have had a solid last month as we’ve been in the black in each of the last four weeks and then started this week with a banger, currently up 6.24 units after Thursday.

Thursday was just one of those games where really most everything went right. We hit on all three players alts who we bet on thanks to a closer game than expected. It feels like we’ve been running really well in a lot of island games this year.

There are a lot of pivot points now, especially for our future bets (and we have a lot) so those will have some fun sweats over the next couple weeks.

Right now we can take advantage of some role changes (and next week contract incentive based plays) of younger players getting more time as teams are eliminated from contention.

These next couple weeks allow us to get a nice edge that is mostly sapped during the season for these reasons. It’s why I have been pumping out more plays than usual in these weeks.

Let’s hope to continue this run this week and start the new year off right.

Week 17 Bets

Brian Robinson over 17.5 rushing attempts -110 (MGM/DraftKings)

Played in Discord at -105

I’m not sure why this line hasn’t moved more. It’s one of my favorite plays of the week.

Antonio Gibson is out, and Robinson is going against a massive run-funnel defense. Even with Gibson, Robinson has hit this over in 3 of his last four games.

It’s wild that Robinson saw 22 carries against a massive pass funnel defense in the 49ers last week.

The entire game plan for the Commanders recently has been to run the ball at all costs and in the perfect matchup, while fighting for a playoff spot nothing should change here.

Risk 1.65 units to win 1.5 units

Play to -125

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