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I’m a bit behind this week after being pretty locked into the Friday night Pac-12 Championship where my Huskies won the final title in that conference’s history. And today’s been wild, as UW fans are trying to figure out where (and against who) they might be playing next.
We had a 4-1 week here last week, including 3-0 on sides to bring the full-season record on sides up to 20-11 (with a 4-4 record on moneylines). Going 1-1 on totals brought that to… 9-26 for the year, for a 33-41 overall record.
It’s been a profitable couple of weeks with a 9-3 record and +5.65 units in Weeks 11 and 12. We’ll hope to keep that streak going this week as we continue trying to climb out of the early-season hole.
Let’s get to the Week 13 bets, with quicker writeups so I can get this out. As always, all minus bets are bet to win 1 unit, all plus bets are risk 1 unit.
Miami Dolphins at Washington Commanders
Pick: Over 49.5, -105 (ESPNBet)
You’d think I’d know better than taking overs at this point, and especially on a number like this, but I’ll never learn. Washington’s been the team I’ve wanted to play to shoot out basically every week, because they have such a high PROE and their pass defense is terrible. And now we get the most explosive offense in the league taking them on.
To hit this numbers, we’ll need some explosive plays, especially from Miami’s side. But we’ve seen them against Washington, and especially with De’Von Achane back, I think we’ll get them here as Miami finally should have their full cast of explosive-play guys together at once.
We know Washington will push back, giving us the potential for a real throwback shootout the likes of which we don’t get to see enough in 2023.