Stealing Lines

Stealing Lines

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Stealing Lines
Stealing Lines
Super Bowl Props

Super Bowl Props

Dalton Kates's avatar
Dalton Kates
Feb 12, 2023
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Stealing Lines
Stealing Lines
Super Bowl Props
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The Super Bowl is finally here and with it comes a plethora of betting opportunities beyond the outcome of the game. The NFL's biggest stage not only provides a thrilling conclusion to the season, but also offers hundreds of unique novelty props for fans to place their wagers on. From the national anthem performance to the color of Gatorade dumped on the winning coach, the options are endless. Whether you're looking to add a little extra excitement to the game or trying to finish your NFL betting season on a high note, let’s hope to add well researched plays to our betting slip for the entertainment.

It’s important with the insane betting options to be responsible today when it comes with your bets. Let’s have a day!

Super Bowl Props

Miles Sanders over 13.5 rushing attempts +102 (Fanduel)

KC in two playoff games has the 2nd worst rushing DVOA of all playoffs this year. We’ve seen some very skewed RB splits with the Eagles RBs in the playoffs because of the blowouts. 17 of Gainwell’s 26 carries this postseason have come in garbage time where the Eagles have been up three or more TDs in the 4th quarter. This really isn’t as much of a committee as it seems.

Sanders had one carry in the 2nd half last week and four carries in the 2nd half against the Giants. That marks 23 of his 28 carries have come in the first half. In a game that is expected to be much closer, we’d expect to see sanders be the main guy with Scott/Gainwell briefly sprinkling in here and there.

Not only does Sanders have a good matchup, but we’ve seen heavy Sanders usage early on in these playoffs before the games got out of hand. In the first half alone combined of these games he’s seen 23 carries for 114 yards, a clear focal point of the offense.

Twitter avatar for @SH8Model
SH8Model @SH8Model
Strength of Schedule faced including playoffs Phi played the 32nd schedule KC the 30th Most interesting part is Phi played the 32nd set of opposing passers (equivalent rating to playing the Commanders QB's every week) KC played the 31st opposing rush O (NEP rush O equivalent)
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4:14 AM ∙ Jan 30, 2023
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KC played the 2nd easiest schedule of RBs this year and now go against the top rushing offense in the league.

Risk 1 unit to win 1.02 units

Play to -115

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