Best Week 1 Player Props
Thursday Night Review
It was a fun game and we had a profitable first night going up .93 units to start the season off on a good foot.
Noah Gray really had us sweating for a second when he broke off three tackles and ran down the field for 24 yards. He was held to a catchless fourth quarter that helped us cash our under 34.5 receiving yards.
David Motngomery sneaking in a touchdown there towards the end of the game was a nice finishing touch as well.
Week 1 is one of the best for props
The first couple weeks of the season we can take advantage of some softer player prop lines before books adjust to roles/situations of teams and players.
It’s why I will have more bets concentrated in these next two weeks than we will all year.
Because of these bad lines that get dropped that also means lines are moving much faster. A high majority of the lines that we have played in the Discord have already moved in our favor since we released them. This is a great reminder that to check your “Welcome" email from Stealing Lines for the link to join our Discord if you have a subscription.
I want to get these out now to make sure everyone reading can get these in today before tomorrows games when lines tend to sharpen up a little bit.
Best bets for Sunday
*lines are accurate as of Saturday 9th at 7:12 PM ET
Anthony Richardson under 29.5 passing attempts -115 (Barstool/BetRivers)
Rumor has it the Colts are going to rush the piss out of the ball and install plenty of very base college concepts to take advantage of Richardson’s unique athleticism and rushing ability.
In reality Richardson could be used very close to how Justin Fields was used last season in terms of relying heavy on the running game and allowing him to move this offense down the field with his legs rather than passing the ball.
It’s very possible that Richardson’s passing attempts line hovers around 26.5 on a weekly basis.
Guys like Fields last year had weekly lines of 24.5 passing attempts.
Even in game script that could favor a potential pass heavy approach, the Colts likely understand that Richardson right now is not an extremely accurate quarterback and might try to rely on his strengths.
Richardson’s passing yardage props of yards and attempts are assuming too much confidence in him as a passer with one of the worst set of weapons in the league.
In college we saw Richardson only pass for 212 yards per game and 27.2 pass attempts per game! Just wild to assume with NFL talent in his first game he is going to light it up as a passer.
Risk 1.725 units to win 1.5 units
Play for 1.5 units to 29.5 -135
Play for 1 unit to 28.5 -125