Best Bets for Week 9

Plus Week 8 Review

Nov 05, 2023

∙ Paid

Sorry for a minimized email this week. These last few days I’ve been bedridden with what I think is Bronchitis and it’s just knocked me on my ass.

Week 8 Review

Last week was pretty uneventful as there were only 8 total bets and we went 4-4 on those.

For some very weird reason it was the first week in which our end of the week tally was within 4 units positive or negative of zero. Every week has either been hit or miss with no average weeks until now.

Weird, but we will take it.

Heading into Week 9 the whole season has been kinda odd. Scoring is down immensley and it seems like there’s been more major injuries than normal early on. It feels like we say this every year but 13 of the 32 week 1 starting QBs have already missed a game due to injury or have been benched due to underperformance.

Here’s the chaos of the season as we naturally expect to an extent, but the positive about being halfway through the year is things are starting to stabilize a bit.

We are getting a good understanding of who offenses and defenses are, where strengths and weaknesses lie amongst teams and roles of players on teams.

From my experience this is where some of the process for prop betting becomes very simplified. A lot of the plays are now matchup based while also having nuance for role changes.

Last year from Week 8 on I went up 28.03 units. I’m not here to say by any means that this will happen again, but it’s an indication that things do stabilize and become more predictable.